Analysts warn that rising U.S. tensions with Iran could divert Washington’s focus from its primary long-term strategic challenge — China and Taiwan. As carriers, bombers, and defenses shift toward the Middle East, some fear the temporary redistribution of assets may weaken deterrence in the Indo-Pacific, where timing and perception often shape geopolitical moves.
Experts speculate Beijing could test U.S. resolve through increased pressure on Taiwan, such as military drills or air incursions, if it senses distraction. While no immediate action is confirmed, the redeployment of major assets like the USS Gerald R. Ford alongside the USS Abraham Lincoln highlights how Middle East crises can ripple into Asia’s security balance.
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